Bailout not just for mortgage debt. Paulson wants to take any “troubled assets.”
Better brush up on your Sun Tzu and Machiavelli if you want to survive in this investment climate, because now we know what rules they are playing by. —- Jeez. I wrote the following this morning, but I...
View ArticleNo thank you, Mr. Keynes. America’s infrastructure does not need a bailout.
I’m sick of hearing the phase “America’s crumbling infrastructure” from the press and politicians. They have been pushing this theme for at least 18 months now. Observers should look for the motive...
View ArticleListen to the people who predicted this: No bailouts, no New Deal, no serfdom.
Here is a list of popular personages who predicted this credit implosion and depression while the bubble was still being blown: Robert Prechter. In 2002, he published Conquer the Crash, How to survive...
View ArticleThe next bubble: cash.
This is deflation, a contraction of money and credit. Hardy anybody argues about that anymore. So what happens next? Will Obama and the bailout maniacs inflate a new bubble in green energy in their...
View ArticleListen to Mish: Public unions and their pensions have bankrupted your city...
I don’t care where you live, odds are that your local politicians have put you and your fellow taxpayers on the hook for unpayable quantities of debt, mostly to fund government salaries and benefits...
View ArticleChart: Secular Bear Markets Since 1900
Secular Bear Markets (red) since 1900. Source: Crestmont Research I like this chart, but I would change one thing: the bear that started in 1929 could extend clear through to 1948 due to inflation and...
View ArticleHedge funds: Just say no
Hedge funds are almost never a good investment. As a class, they underperform and overcharge. Only 20% of funds beat their benchmarks in a given year, and of those, fewer than half outperform in two of...
View ArticleBristlecone Pine trading
Hedge funds, mutual funds and active mangers underperform and overcharge, while a simple buy-and-hold strategy regularly sustains sharp losses and lengthy secular bear markets. So what’s an investor...
View ArticleBarrons Big Money Poll shows complacency & love for equities
It amazes me that the most successful managers could be so bullish at a time like this (way overvalued, way overbought, rising Treasury yields, stalled earnings growth), but of course stocks are most...
View ArticleWhat goes up must come down (coffee futures boom-to-bust).
A 9-month mania has become a relentless 2-year bear market, and prices are back where they started: From Futures.Tradingcharts.com From Indexmundi.com, here’s a longer-term view. As is typical of...
View ArticleTop developing
An overbought market that has kept the vast majority of investors and traders in the bull camp for several weeks is to be viewed with suspicion. When prices also begin to lose their upward momentum,...
View ArticleRSI declining – final warning sign
This is a very expensive and overbought market which few participants believe can decline meaningfully. That alone is dangerous, but now we see signs of technical exhaustion, such as the downtrend in...
View ArticleDaylight saving is pointless
Daylight Saving Time doesn’t save energy. It just messes up the seasonal progression of diurnal rhythms, effectively giving us jetlag. The sun was rising a few minutes earlier each week, and now...
View ArticleOne more datapoint on the equity bubble
The latest Flow of Funds Report (link to pdf) shows that equities comprise a greater share of US household assets than at any point besides the height of the internet bubble. Of course, elevated prices...
View ArticleOn Flash Boys, why HFT is parasitic, and why it’s over.
It’s my baseline assumption when looking at markets, financial or otherwise, that when something involves no fraud or physical coercion it’s beneficial or innocuous. When you find something damaging...
View ArticleBailout not just for mortgage debt. Paulson wants to take any “troubled assets.”
Better brush up on your Sun Tzu and Machiavelli if you want to survive in this investment climate, because now we know what rules they are playing by. —- Jeez. I wrote the following this morning, but I...
View ArticleNo thank you, Mr. Keynes. America’s infrastructure does not need a bailout.
I’m sick of hearing the phase “America’s crumbling infrastructure” from the press and politicians. They have been pushing this theme for at least 18 months now. Observers should look for the motive...
View ArticleListen to the people who predicted this: No bailouts, no New Deal, no serfdom.
Here is a list of popular personages who predicted this credit implosion and depression while the bubble was still being blown: Robert Prechter. In 2002, he published Conquer the Crash, How to survive...
View ArticleThe next bubble: cash.
This is deflation, a contraction of money and credit. Hardy anybody argues about that anymore. So what happens next? Will Obama and the bailout maniacs inflate a new bubble in green energy in their...
View ArticleListen to Mish: Public unions and their pensions have bankrupted your city...
I don’t care where you live, odds are that your local politicians have put you and your fellow taxpayers on the hook for unpayable quantities of debt, mostly to fund government salaries and benefits...
View Article